Wednesday, March 26, 2014

Free Market Healthcare in the United States and Kenneth Arrow



One of the leading arguments against free market competition as the solutions to the US healthcare issues has come from Economist Kenneth Arrow.  Titled Uncertainty and the Welfare Economics of Medical Care in the American Economic Review in December 1963. (Arrow 1963) The article from Kenneth Arrow outlines how the healthcare market is not a typical market and that healthcare in the United States needs intervention.

1. Unpredictability. Arrow points out that people’s needs for health care are unpredictable, unlike other basic expenses like food and clothing. But while we can skip the occasional meal or sale at Old Navy, our need for health care can be far more urgently necessary.

There are markets with varying amounts of predictability even though a patient may not decide when they will need services they still for a majority or based on payments have the ability to shop around. When you examine that 30% of healthcare expenditures go towards hospitalization according to Centers for Medicaid and Medicare Services.  (CMS 2012) There remains another 70% spent on prescription drugs, medical devices, clinical serves, and other non emergency services.

2.Barriers to entry. Arrow notes that you can’t just set up shop on the side of a road and practice medicine: you must have a license to be a physician and gaining that license requires years of expensive schooling and training. As a result of this constraint on the supply of physicians, there is a constraint on the supply of medical services.

Barriers to entry can be described as the ability to become a physician however; there is a relatively new paradigm in healthcare known as retail clinics. Retail clinics are healthcare providers that are setup inside of local pharmacies such as Target, Walgreens, and CVS. Although they are mostly in urban areas the tendency to think of health care occurring in hospitals or physician clinics is a changing dynamic of healthcare as most of these clinics are staffed by physician assistants or nurse practitioners.  (Deloitte 2009)

3. The importance of trust. Trust is a key component of the doctor-patient relationship; if a surgeon makes a serious mistake during an operation, for example, the patient may die or become permanently disabled. The patient must trust that the surgeon knows what he’s doing, and can’t test-drive the surgery beforehand.


4. Asymmetrical information. Doctors usually know far more about medicine than do their patients. Therefore, the consumer of medical services (the patient) is at a serious disadvantage relative to the seller (the doctor). Patients are therefore vulnerable to exploitation. In addition, third-party payers of medical bills, such as insurers or the government, are that much more removed from the particulars of a given case, and unable to effectively supervise medical practice.

Since Kenneth Arrows research there has been the establishment of the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) which was originally created as the Agency for Health Care Policy and Research (AHCPR) on December 19, 1989, under the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1989 (103 Stat. 2159), as a Public Health Service Agency in the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS). The Agency was reauthorized with a name change as the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality on December 6, 1999, under the Healthcare Research and Quality Act of 1999. The AHRQ's mission is to produce evidence to make health care safer, higher quality, more accessible, equitable, and affordable, and to work with the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) and other partners to make sure that the evidence is understood and used. (AHRQ 2014)

5. Idiosyncrasies of payment. Unusually, patients pay for health care after, not before, it is received (that is, if they pay for health care at all). Because patients don’t see the bill until after the non-refundable service has been consumed, and because patients are given little information about price and cost, patients and payers are rarely able to shop around for a medical service based on price and value. Compounding this problem is the fact that patients rarely pay for their care directly. (Roy 2013 )

According to the American Health Insurance Plans (AHIP) they are promoting three key strategies for reducing health care costs. Tackling Barriers to Transparency, Facilitating Benefit Modernization, and Advancing Bold Structural Reforms.  (AHIP 2013)

Accountable Care Organizations ACOs can include hospitals, specialists, post-acute providers and even private companies like Walgreens. (Kaiser 2011) One instance of solutions to cost is retail clinics. Retail Clinics can be used to provide savings if 10% of patients went to retail clinics for outpatient care Out of pocket expenditure per capita according to the OECD is $987.4 further, About 14-27 percent of all emergency department visits could take place at retail clinics and urgent care centers, with a potential cost savings of approximately $4.4 billion annually. (Rand 2013)  The Government endorsed ACOs with a combination of free market retail clinics address the issue of cutting costs and access to primary care. This also addresses the issues of barriers to entry as most retail clinics are staffed by nurse practitioners or physician assistants. 

An indicator of the quality of care could be wait times to receive appropriate care according to an Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development survey from 2010 the only country to have shorter wait times was Germany the survey was Waiting time of four weeks or more for a specialist appointment. In this survey was just access waiting times of four weeks or more to see a specialist, this does not include treatment. (OECD 2013) The waiting times of four months or more for Elective surgery as collected by the OECD is a measure tracked that Germany and the Netherlands were the two countries that had a lower percentage of wait times.  The only country noted as mostly free market healthcare is the United States.  The other countries have single payer insurance with the exception of Germany and the Netherlands.

Additionally using OECD data for 19 countries to assess the relationship between physician supply and healthcare outcomes, we have determined that there is no association between avoidable mortality and overall physician supply. (NIH 2009) According to the Heritage Foundation article titled Studies Show: Medicaid Patients Have Worse Access and Outcomes than the Privately Insured

A 1992 study in the Journal of the American Medical Association examined hospitalizations in Massachusetts and Maryland. The study found that Medicaid and uninsured patients were statistically more likely than privately insured patients to be hospitalized for avoidable conditions such as pneumonia and diabetes.

    A 2007 study in Health Affairs examined access to specialty services for patients who receive primary care from community health centers.[14] The study found that Medicaid recipients have significantly more difficulty accessing specialty care than privately insured patients.

    A 2012 study in Health Affairs examined physicians’ willingness to accept new patients. Using survey data from a nationally representative sample, the study found that nearly one-third of physicians nationwide will not accept new Medicaid patients. Doctors in smaller practices, as well as doctors in metropolitan areas, are among the least inclined to accept new Medicaid patients.[15] The authors’ results suggest that this reluctance may largely be a consequence of Medicaid’s poor payment rates to doctors. (Dayaratna 2012)

It can be easy to draw the conclusion that healthcare insurance versus not having health insurance results in a lower quality of health while having private health insurance is better than having our Medicaid or Medicare.

There are an estimated 174 million persons in the United States with private health insurance 41.7 million with Medicare and 42.5 million people with Medicaid insurance according to the CMS. The total amount paid in 2012 for CMS was $993.7 Billion while out of pocket and private insurance paid out $1.2 Trillion. (CMS 2012) Based on these numbers the United States Healthcare is on a continuum mostly based upon free-market competition.  Free market economics is a summary term for an array of exchanges that take place in society. Each exchange is undertaken as a voluntary agreement between two people or between groups of people represented by agents. (Rothbard 2013) Encouragement from the Government to form ACO’s in conjunction with retail clinics is making a difference when it comes to access and cost of healthcare.  Even within the insurance system we see elements of free market in the United States delivering a better quality healthcare according to the Heritage Foundation. (Dayaratna 2012)   While a Free Market and entrepreneurship may not be the complete answer to the US healthcare problems it can be an asset to providing solutions to better access and quality in the United States.

References


Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality 2014 About Us Retrieved from:

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Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (2012) National Health Expenditures Table

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Delloite (2009) Retail Clinics: Update and Implication Retrieved from:
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Rand Corporation (2010) Many Emergency Department Visits Could Be Managed at
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Roy, Avik, (2013) Yes, Virginia, There Can Be a Free Market for Health Care Forbes   
Magazine Retrieved from: http://www.forbes.com/sites/aroy/2012/03/18/yes-virginia-there-can-be-a-free-market-for-health-care/

Wall, Barbra. History of Hospitals retrieved from:

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